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1994-05-02
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<text>
<title>
Iraq's Kurds
</title>
<article>
<hdr>
Foreign Service Journal, July 1991
Iraq's Kurds: Why Two Million Fled
</hdr>
<body>
<p>By David A. Korn. Mr. Korn is a former Foreign Service officer
who is author of (Human Rights in Iraq) (Yale University Press,
1990).
</p>
<p> A few days after U.S. and coalition forces smashed Saddam
Hussein's army in southern Iraq, an astonishing thing happened
at the opposite end of that country. Rebellion swept Iraqi
Kurdistan like wildfire through dry brush. In a matter of days,
the cities and towns of the Iraqi Kurdish heartland--Suleimaniya, Irbil, Dahok, and even Kirkuk--were all in the
hands of insurgents under the banners of Jalal Talabani, head
of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, and Masoud Barzani, leader
of the Kurdistan Democratic Party and son of the legendary
Kurdish guerrilla fighter Mulla Mustafa Barzani. The Baghdad
government's Kurdish militia rushed to throw in its lot with
the insurgency, and other Iraqi military units in the north
quickly surrendered. Seldom had power over an entire region
fallen so swiftly from the hands of a central government.
</p>
<p> Some two weeks later, there was even more astonishing news.
As rapidly as it had risen, the Kurdish revolt collapsed, and
some 2 million panicked Kurds jammed into cars, trucks, and
buses or struck out on foot and horseback for the Turkish and
Iranian borders with little but the clothes on their backs. It
was a spontaneous mass flight, one of the largest and most
sudden of recent times, and it quickly created a human tragedy
of immense proportions. Hundreds of thousands of Iraqi Kurds,
Assyrian Christians, and Turcomans--people who had tasted
brutal oppression at the hands of Saddam Hussein's regime--were soon crowded without food or shelter on mountainsides up
against or just over Iraq's borders with Iran and Turkey. They
began dying by the hundreds, then by the thousands. As pictures
of the dead and deathly ill children flashed across television
screens in America and Western Europe, the Bush Administration
was forced into a reversal of policy every bit as spectacular
as its earlier turnabout from collaboration with Saddam Hussein
to confrontation with him after his army invaded Kuwait.
</p>
<p> Like the reversal the previous year, this one too, was at
least in part the result of the administration's own
miscalculation. Once Saddam Hussein's army was beaten (or
thought to have been beaten) the administration's nightmare
scenario was not that Kurds and Shi'ites would be massacred or
flee for their lives by the hundreds of thousands, but that
they would seize power, each in their respective zones. Iraq
would become another Lebanon, torn apart; Iran would step in to
impose a regime steeped in its own noxious brand of extremism,
or the Kurds would defy reason and declare an independent state,
or both. The one would unsettle our Saudi friends, the other
our Turkish ally. So the administration opted for the path of
realpolitik. It would stand aside and let the Iraqi army put
down the Shi'ite and Kurdish rebellions: Iraq would thereby be
kept together and postwar stability assured.
</p>
<p>See no evil
</p>
<p> The nightmare scenario was realistic, and it couldn't have
turned out to be more wrong. One of the reasons it was wrong is
that the administration was so afraid of being contaminated by
the Iraqi opposition that it wouldn't talk to them. A Kurdish
delegation headed by Talabani was in Washington during the last
week of February hoping for an appointment at the White House
or State Department. For the administration, they were about as
welcome as bearers of the plague. An order came down from the
White House banning any meeting. Talabani and Hoshayr Zebari,
Masoud Barzani's representative, left Washington without seeing
anyone from the executive branch--and without anyone from the
executive branch's learning from them what was about to happen
in Iraqi Kurdistan.
</p>
<p> If there was one key event afterwards, it was the
administration's decision to look the other way while the
Iraqis cut down the Shi'ite and Kurdish resistance with
helicopter gunships. In the mountainous terrain of Iraqi
Kurdistan, the helicopters gave Iraqi forces a decisive edge.
Helicopters could strike where tanks could not, and their armor
and the insurgents' lack of surface-to-air missiles or
anti-aircraft guns made them practically invulnerable. The
president and his spokesmen offered a variety of rationales--none more than marginally persuasive--in justification of the
decision to ignore Iraq's use of helicopters: anything the
United States might do would violate the principle (suddenly
sacred) of non-intervention in Iraq's internal affairs; the
president did not "want to risk the life of one American boy"
in a "conflict that has gone on for centuries;" helicopters
would be too difficult to track, and shooting them down wouldn't
do any good anyway, because the Iraqis could still send armor
and artillery against the insurgents.
</p>
<p> The hands-off policy brought results the administration had
not expected. The flood of Kurdish refugees toward Turkey set
off a clamor from President Turgut Ozal's government for allied
action to halt the Kurdish exodus from Iraq. And the French and
the British upstaged and embarrassed the United States by being
the first to call for urgent measures to prevent a great human
tragedy. Pictures of the Kurds' misery and of their dead
wrapped in shrouds awaiting burial dimmed the glow of the great
Desert Storm victory, while in Washington, the Democrats did
their best to make the administration's apparent indifference
a political issue.
</p>
<p> A few days earlier, the White House had announced a paltry
$1 million contribution to Kurdish relief, to be handled
through UNICEF. Now it did a swift about-face and launched a
massive U.S. military airlift of food, blankets, and tents. And
then the president did what he had vowed he would not do: he
ordered U.S. forces into northern Iraq, to establish a safe
haven for several hundred thousands Kurds and others who had
fled toward Turkey.
</p>
<p>A divided people
</p>
<p> Old Middle East hands in Washington, in and out of
government, like to think of the Kurds as a quaint people who
wear baggy pants and colorful turbans and periodically amuse
themselves by firing World War I vintage rifles down from the
mountains against government troops that come inconveniently to
disturb their backward way of life.
</p>
<p> So it may have been, once upon a time. Today, many Iraqi
Kurds still wear baggy pants and turbans for ceremonial
occasions. But the majority are now urban, and many are
middle-class professional: physicians, engineers, architects,
accountants, teachers, civil servants, and businessmen.
</p>
<p> The Kurds are the Middle East's fourth-largest ethnic group,
after the Arabs, the Persians, and the Turks, and they are the
only major one not to get a state of their own. Nobody knows
exactly how many Kurds there are; estimates range from a low of
15 million to a high of 30 million. The reason they never got
a state was that in the new order that emerged out of the defeat
of the central powers in World War I, the Kurds found
themselves divided among Turkey, Iraq, and Iran, with smaller
numbers in Syria and the Soviet Union. That too is why nobody
knows how many of them there are. Neither Turkey, Iraq, Iran,
nor even Syria has ever allowed a census to be taken among its
Kurdish population. A good estimate would probably by 10 to 12
million in Turkey, 3 to 3.5 million in Iraq, and 5 to 6 million
in Iran.
</p>
<p>Emerging political identity
</p>
<p> Down through the centuries, Kurdish tribes in the secluded
northern Zagros mountains resisted the encroachments of
governments, but the idea of a Kurdish national identity did
not take root until the 20th century. The Treaty of Sevres,
signed between the allied powers and the defeated Ottoman Empire
on August 10, 1920, called for establishing a Kurdish state
under a Leag